3B · CWS
Miguel Vargas — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Miguel Vargas (CWS) sits at 0.73 runs per game through 60 games, trending up to 0.9 across the last 10. 52% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.74, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Miguel Vargas went over in 31 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 0.74 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 31/60 | 52% |
| 1.5 | 12/60 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Vargas’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.