EdgeTake

3B · CWS

Miguel Vargas — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Stolen Bases
9
Per Game
0.15
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Miguel Vargas (CWS) sits at 0.15 stolen bases per game through 60 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. 15% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.08, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +920 FanDuelUnder 0.5 -2000 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Miguel Vargas went over in 9 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.42.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/6015%

Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.15

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.10
Away (29)
0.21
Home edge
-0.11

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIL0Under
2026-03-28vs MIL0Under
2026-03-29vs MIL1Over
2026-03-30vs MIA0Under
2026-03-31vs MIA0Under
2026-04-01vs MIA0Under
2026-04-02vs TOR1Over
2026-04-04vs TOR1Over
2026-04-05vs TOR0Under
2026-04-06vs BAL0Under
2026-04-07vs BAL0Under
2026-04-08vs BAL0Under
2026-04-09vs KC0Under
2026-04-10vs KC0Under
2026-04-12vs KC0Under
2026-04-14vs TB0Under
2026-04-15vs TB0Under
2026-04-16vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs ATH0Under
2026-04-18vs ATH0Under
2026-04-19vs ATH0Under
2026-04-22vs AZ0Under
2026-04-23vs AZ1Over
2026-04-23vs AZ1Over
2026-04-24vs WSH0Under
2026-04-25vs WSH0Under
2026-04-26vs WSH0Under
2026-04-27vs LAA0Under
2026-04-28vs LAA0Under
2026-04-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-02vs SD0Under
2026-05-03vs SD0Under
2026-05-03vs SD0Under
2026-05-05vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA1Over
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-08vs SEA0Under
2026-05-09vs SEA0Under
2026-05-10vs SEA0Under
2026-05-12vs KC0Under
2026-05-13vs KC0Under
2026-05-14vs KC0Under
2026-05-15vs CHC0Under
2026-05-16vs CHC0Under
2026-05-17vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA1Over
2026-05-20vs SEA0Under
2026-05-23vs SF1Over
2026-05-23vs SF0Under
2026-05-24vs SF0Under
2026-05-25vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs MIN0Under
2026-05-27vs MIN0Under
2026-05-28vs MIN1Over
2026-05-29vs DET0Under
2026-05-30vs DET0Under
2026-05-31vs DET0Under
2026-06-01vs MIN0Under
2026-06-02vs MIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Vargas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.