3B · CWS
Miguel Vargas — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Miguel Vargas (CWS) has averaged 1.82 total bases per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2.3. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 38% of games this season. We project 2.09, ahead of the 1.31 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +116 at DraftKings — model 46% to hit, -0.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Miguel Vargas went over in 23 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 2.09 vs market line 1.31 — edge +0.78.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 38/60 | 63% |
| 1.5 | 23/60 | 38% |
| 2.5 | 16/60 | 27% |
| 3.5 | 14/60 | 23% |
Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TB | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs LAA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SEA | 8 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CHC | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SF | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs DET | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIN | 10 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Vargas’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.