EdgeTake

CF · LAA

Mike Trout — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Home Runs
14
Per Game
0.23
Projection
0.23
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Mike Trout (LAA) sits at 0.23 home runs per game through 61 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 21% of games. Our model projects 0.23, below the market line of 0.98.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +280 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Mike Trout went over in 13 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 0.23 vs market line 0.98 — edge -0.75.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/6121%

Share of 2026 games Trout finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.23

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.14
Away (32)
0.31
Home edge
-0.17

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs HOU1Over
2026-03-28vs HOU1Over
2026-03-28vs HOU0Under
2026-03-29vs HOU0Under
2026-03-30vs CHC0Under
2026-03-31vs CHC0Under
2026-04-01vs CHC0Under
2026-04-04vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-10vs CIN0Under
2026-04-11vs CIN0Under
2026-04-12vs CIN0Under
2026-04-13vs NYY2Over
2026-04-14vs NYY1Over
2026-04-15vs NYY1Over
2026-04-16vs NYY1Over
2026-04-18vs SD0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-21vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR1Over
2026-04-24vs KC0Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-26vs KC1Over
2026-04-27vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs CWS1Over
2026-05-02vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-05vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS1Over
2026-05-06vs CWS0Under
2026-05-08vs TOR0Under
2026-05-09vs TOR0Under
2026-05-10vs TOR0Under
2026-05-11vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs CLE0Under
2026-05-13vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-19vs ATH0Under
2026-05-20vs ATH1Over
2026-05-21vs ATH0Under
2026-05-22vs ATH0Under
2026-05-23vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX1Over
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-26vs DET0Under
2026-05-27vs DET0Under
2026-05-28vs DET0Under
2026-05-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-30vs TB1Over
2026-05-31vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs COL0Under
2026-06-03vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mike Trout’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.