EdgeTake

C · SEA

Mitch Garver — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Hits
14
Per Game
0.50
Projection
0.61
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 28 games this season, Mitch Garver (SEA) is averaging 0.5 hits per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.6 over the last 10. 39% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.61 comes in under the market line of 0.65.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -107 at DraftKings — model 51% to hit, -0.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -124 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -107 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Mitch Garver went over in 11 of 28 2026 games.

Our projection 0.61 vs market line 0.65 — edge -0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.511/2839%
1.53/2811%
2.50/280%

Share of 2026 games Garver finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.50

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (15)
0.27
Away (13)
0.77
Home edge
-0.50

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-31vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-08vs TEX1Over
2026-04-13vs HOU1Over
2026-04-17vs SD0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX0Under
2026-04-19vs TEX0Under
2026-04-22vs ATH1Over
2026-04-22vs ATH1Over
2026-04-25vs STL2Over
2026-04-26vs STL0Under
2026-04-27vs MIN1Over
2026-04-28vs MIN0Under
2026-05-02vs KC0Under
2026-05-03vs KC1Over
2026-05-05vs ATL0Under
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-09vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs HOU0Under
2026-05-14vs HOU1Over
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-17vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-22vs KC2Over
2026-05-24vs KC1Over
2026-05-27vs ATH2Over
2026-05-31vs AZ0Under
2026-06-02vs NYM0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mitch Garver’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.