EdgeTake

DH · NYM

MJ Melendez — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Hits
16
Per Game
0.42
Projection
0.5
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 38 games this season, MJ Melendez (NYM) is averaging 0.42 hits per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.2 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 32% of games this season. We project 0.5, short of the 0.65 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -144 at DraftKings — model 58% to hit, -1.9% EV.

Over 0.5 +108 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -144 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), MJ Melendez went over in 12 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 0.5 vs market line 0.65 — edge -0.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.512/3832%
1.54/3811%
2.50/380%

Share of 2026 games Melendez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.42

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.41
Away (21)
0.43
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-16vs LAD2Over
2026-04-17vs CHC2Over
2026-04-18vs CHC0Under
2026-04-19vs CHC1Over
2026-04-21vs MIN0Under
2026-04-24vs COL0Under
2026-04-25vs COL1Over
2026-04-26vs COL0Under
2026-04-28vs WSH1Over
2026-04-29vs WSH1Over
2026-04-30vs WSH2Over
2026-05-02vs LAA0Under
2026-05-03vs LAA0Under
2026-05-03vs LAA1Over
2026-05-04vs COL0Under
2026-05-06vs COL0Under
2026-05-07vs COL2Over
2026-05-09vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs AZ0Under
2026-05-10vs AZ0Under
2026-05-12vs DET0Under
2026-05-13vs DET0Under
2026-05-14vs DET0Under
2026-05-15vs NYY1Over
2026-05-16vs NYY0Under
2026-05-17vs NYY0Under
2026-05-18vs WSH0Under
2026-05-20vs WSH0Under
2026-05-21vs WSH0Under
2026-05-22vs MIA0Under
2026-05-23vs MIA0Under
2026-05-24vs MIA1Over
2026-05-25vs CIN0Under
2026-05-26vs CIN0Under
2026-05-29vs MIA1Over
2026-05-31vs MIA0Under
2026-06-02vs SEA0Under
2026-06-03vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See MJ Melendez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.