DH · NYM
MJ Melendez — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
MJ Melendez (NYM) sits at 0.08 home runs per game through 38 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. 8% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.09, short of the 1.07 market line.
Next: @ SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), MJ Melendez went over in 3 of 38 2026 games.
Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1.07 — edge -0.98.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/38 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Melendez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See MJ Melendez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.