DH · CHC
Moisés Ballesteros — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Moisés Ballesteros (CHC) sits at 0.12 home runs per game through 49 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 12% of those games. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 1.08.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Moisés Ballesteros went over in 6 of 49 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.08 — edge -0.97.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/49 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Ballesteros finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Moisés Ballesteros’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.