RF · TOR
Nathan Lukes — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 26 games this season, Nathan Lukes (TOR) is averaging 0 home runs per game, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our projection of 0.09 comes in under the market line of 1.1.
Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nathan Lukes went over in 0 of 26 2026 games.
Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1.1 — edge -1.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/26 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Lukes finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nathan Lukes’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.