OF · STL
Nelson Velázquez — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nelson Velázquez (STL) has averaged 0.5 runs per game across 4 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.5. 25% of those games have finished over 0.5.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nelson Velázquez went over in 1 of 4 2026 games.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/4 | 25% |
| 1.5 | 1/4 | 25% |
Share of 2026 games Velázquez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 4 games.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nelson Velázquez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.