EdgeTake

OF · STL

Nelson Velázquez — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
4
Total Bases
7
Per Game
1.75
Projection
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Nelson Velázquez (STL) sits at 1.75 total bases per game through 4 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.75. The over on 1.5 has hit in 25% of games.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 1.5 +140 BetRivers

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Nelson Velázquez went over in 1 of 4 2026 games.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/475%
1.51/425%
2.51/425%
3.51/425%

Share of 2026 games Velázquez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 4 avg
1.75
Season avg
1.75

Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 4 games.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-29vs CHC5Over
2026-05-31vs CHC1Under
2026-06-01vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs TEX1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nelson Velázquez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.