EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Nick Allen — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
22
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.04
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 22 games this season, Nick Allen (HOU) is averaging 0.05 home runs per game, trending up to 0.1 across the last 10. 5% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.04, below the market line of 0.83.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1300 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Allen went over in 1 of 22 2026 games.

Our projection 0.04 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.79.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/225%

Share of 2026 games Allen finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.05

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
0.00
Away (12)
0.08
Home edge
-0.08

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-05vs ATH0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-13vs SEA0Under
2026-04-16vs COL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC1Over
2026-05-25vs TEX0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Allen’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.