RF · SD
Nick Castellanos — Stolen Bases
2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Castellanos (SD) sits at 0.05 stolen bases per game through 39 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 5% of games this season. Our projection of 0.05 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Nick Castellanos went over in 2 of 39 2026 games.
Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.45.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/39 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Castellanos finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases
| Date | Opp | Stolen Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Castellanos’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.