C · TB
Nick Fortes — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Fortes (TB) has averaged 0.76 hits per game across 45 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 64% of games this season. Our projection of 0.72 sits above the market line of 0.67.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +100 at BetMGM — model 48% to hit, -3.8% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nick Fortes went over in 29 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 0.72 vs market line 0.67 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/45 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 4/45 | 9% |
| 2.5 | 1/45 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Fortes finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Fortes’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.