C · TB
Nick Fortes — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 45 games this season, Nick Fortes (TB) is averaging 0.24 runs per game, trending up to 0.4 across the last 10. 22% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.31 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nick Fortes went over in 10 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 0.31 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.19.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10/45 | 22% |
| 1.5 | 1/45 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Fortes finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Fortes’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.