EdgeTake

C · TB

Nick Fortes — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
45
Total Bases
44
Per Game
0.98
Projection
1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nick Fortes (TB) sits at 0.98 total bases per game through 45 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.6 over the last 10. 64% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 1, ahead of the 0.83 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +102 at Caesars — model 47% to hit, -5.5% EV.

Over 0.5 -135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +102 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Fortes went over in 29 of 45 2026 games.

Our projection 1 vs market line 0.83 — edge +0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.529/4564%
1.512/4527%
2.52/454%
3.51/452%

Share of 2026 games Fortes finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.98

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.70
Away (22)
1.27
Home edge
-0.58

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL3Over
2026-03-28vs STL1Over
2026-03-29vs STL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIL2Over
2026-03-31vs MIL4Over
2026-04-01vs MIL1Over
2026-04-03vs MIN2Over
2026-04-05vs MIN1Over
2026-04-06vs CHC2Over
2026-04-07vs CHC0Under
2026-04-10vs NYY2Over
2026-04-11vs NYY2Over
2026-04-12vs NYY0Under
2026-04-14vs CWS1Over
2026-04-16vs CWS2Over
2026-04-17vs PIT1Over
2026-04-18vs PIT1Over
2026-04-20vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN0Under
2026-04-24vs MIN2Over
2026-04-25vs MIN1Over
2026-04-26vs MIN0Under
2026-04-27vs CLE1Over
2026-04-28vs CLE0Under
2026-05-01vs SF0Under
2026-05-02vs SF0Under
2026-05-03vs SF1Over
2026-05-04vs TOR1Over
2026-05-06vs TOR1Over
2026-05-07vs BOS1Over
2026-05-08vs BOS2Over
2026-05-10vs BOS1Over
2026-05-12vs TOR1Over
2026-05-15vs MIA0Under
2026-05-16vs MIA1Over
2026-05-17vs MIA1Over
2026-05-18vs BAL0Under
2026-05-19vs BAL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYY0Under
2026-05-24vs NYY2Over
2026-05-25vs BAL0Under
2026-05-27vs BAL1Over
2026-05-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-30vs LAA0Under
2026-06-01vs DET2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Fortes’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.