2B · KC
Nick Loftin — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Loftin (KC) sits at 0.41 runs per game through 29 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 34% of games this season. Our projection of 0.38 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nick Loftin went over in 10 of 29 2026 games.
Our projection 0.38 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.12.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10/29 | 34% |
| 1.5 | 2/29 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Loftin finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Loftin’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.