EdgeTake

2B · KC

Nick Loftin — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
29
Total Bases
23
Per Game
0.79
Projection
1.01
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nick Loftin (KC) has averaged 0.79 total bases per game across 29 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. 45% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 1.01 sits above the market line of 0.82.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -120 at Fanatics — model 52% to hit, -4.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -120 FanaticsUnder 0.5 -106 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Loftin went over in 13 of 29 2026 games.

Our projection 1.01 vs market line 0.82 — edge +0.19.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/2945%
1.58/2928%
2.52/297%
3.50/290%

Share of 2026 games Loftin finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.79

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.94
Away (12)
0.58
Home edge
+0.36

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-29vs ATL2Over
2026-04-01vs MIN0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL0Under
2026-04-05vs MIL1Over
2026-04-20vs BAL3Over
2026-04-22vs BAL0Under
2026-04-24vs LAA0Under
2026-04-25vs LAA3Over
2026-04-26vs LAA2Over
2026-04-29vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-04vs CLE1Over
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-07vs CLE2Over
2026-05-08vs DET2Over
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-12vs CWS2Over
2026-05-13vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs CWS0Under
2026-05-17vs STL0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS0Under
2026-05-20vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs NYY2Over
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX1Over
2026-05-31vs TEX0Under
2026-06-01vs CIN1Over
2026-06-02vs CIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Loftin’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.