EdgeTake

3B · LAA

Nick Madrigal — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Hits
2
Per Game
0.40
Projection
0.94
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nick Madrigal (LAA) has averaged 0.4 hits per game across 5 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 20% of games. We project 0.94, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -215 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Nick Madrigal went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.94 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/520%
1.51/520%
2.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Madrigal finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (3)
0.67
Home edge
-0.67

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-29vs TB2Over
2026-05-30vs TB0Under
2026-05-31vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs COL0Under
2026-06-03vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Madrigal’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.