3B · LAA
Nick Madrigal — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Madrigal (LAA) sits at 0 home runs per game through 5 games, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our model projects 0.13, below the market line of 1.38.
Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Madrigal went over in 0 of 5 2026 games.
Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.38 — edge -1.25.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/5 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Madrigal finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 5 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Madrigal’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.