EdgeTake

3B · LAA

Nick Madrigal — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.51
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nick Madrigal (LAA) sits at 0 runs per game through 5 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our model projects 0.51, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +165 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -220 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nick Madrigal went over in 0 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.51 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/50%
1.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Madrigal finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (3)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-30vs TB0Under
2026-05-31vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs COL0Under
2026-06-03vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Madrigal’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.