3B · BOS
Nick Sogard — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Sogard (BOS) has averaged 0.82 hits per game across 11 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.8. They've gone over 0.5 in 73% of those games. Our projection of 0.94 sits above the market line of 0.6.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -134 at BetRivers — model 58% to hit, +1.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nick Sogard went over in 8 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.94 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.34.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 8/11 | 73% |
| 1.5 | 1/11 | 9% |
| 2.5 | 0/11 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Sogard finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Sogard’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.