EdgeTake

3B · BOS

Nick Sogard — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nick Sogard (BOS) sits at 0 home runs per game through 11 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.07, short of the 1.2 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1100 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Sogard went over in 0 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 1.2 — edge -1.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Sogard finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
0.00
Away (5)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs KC0Under
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs ATL0Under
2026-05-27vs ATL0Under
2026-05-28vs ATL0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Sogard’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.