EdgeTake

2B · TEX

Nicky Lopez — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Total Bases
10
Per Game
1.00
Projection
1.22
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nicky Lopez (TEX) sits at 1 total bases per game through 10 games, tracking close to that at 1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 40% of games this season. Our projection of 1.22 sits above the market line of 0.71.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -136 at Caesars — model 56% to hit, -2.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -136 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +102 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nicky Lopez went over in 4 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 1.22 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.51.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/1040%
1.54/1040%
2.51/1010%
3.51/1010%

Share of 2026 games Lopez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
1.60
Away (5)
0.40
Home edge
+1.20

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC4Over
2026-05-30vs KC2Over
2026-05-31vs KC2Over
2026-06-01vs STL2Over
2026-06-02vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nicky Lopez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.