EdgeTake

2B · CHC

Nico Hoerner — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Hits
61
Per Game
1.02
Projection
0.91
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Nico Hoerner (CHC) has averaged 1.02 hits per game across 60 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.9. The over on 1.5 has hit in 23% of games. Our model projects 0.91, below the market line of 1.24.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 1.5 +163 BetRivers

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Nico Hoerner went over in 14 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.91 vs market line 1.24 — edge -0.33.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.543/6072%
1.514/6023%
2.54/607%

Share of 2026 games Hoerner finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.02

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
1.03
Away (31)
1.00
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH0Under
2026-03-28vs WSH1Under
2026-03-29vs WSH1Under
2026-03-30vs LAA1Under
2026-03-31vs LAA1Under
2026-04-01vs LAA3Over
2026-04-03vs CLE0Under
2026-04-04vs CLE1Under
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB1Under
2026-04-07vs TB2Over
2026-04-08vs TB3Over
2026-04-10vs PIT1Under
2026-04-11vs PIT1Under
2026-04-12vs PIT2Over
2026-04-13vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs PHI2Over
2026-04-15vs PHI3Over
2026-04-17vs NYM3Over
2026-04-18vs NYM0Under
2026-04-19vs NYM1Under
2026-04-20vs PHI1Under
2026-04-21vs PHI2Over
2026-04-22vs PHI1Under
2026-04-23vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD1Under
2026-04-25vs LAD2Over
2026-04-26vs LAD1Under
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD1Under
2026-04-29vs SD1Under
2026-05-01vs AZ1Under
2026-05-03vs AZ2Over
2026-05-04vs CIN1Under
2026-05-05vs CIN1Under
2026-05-06vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs CIN1Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-10vs TEX2Over
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL1Under
2026-05-14vs ATL0Under
2026-05-15vs CWS1Under
2026-05-16vs CWS1Under
2026-05-17vs CWS1Under
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL2Over
2026-05-20vs MIL1Under
2026-05-22vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU1Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT1Under
2026-05-27vs PIT2Over
2026-05-28vs PIT1Under
2026-05-29vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs STL2Over
2026-05-31vs STL1Under
2026-06-03vs ATH1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nico Hoerner’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.