2B · CHC
Nico Hoerner — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nico Hoerner (CHC) has averaged 1.43 total bases per game across 60 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.9. They've gone over 1.5 in 35% of those games. Our projection of 1.27 comes in under the market line of 1.51.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -143 at Caesars — model 61% to hit, +4.1% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Nico Hoerner went over in 21 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 1.27 vs market line 1.51 — edge -0.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 43/60 | 72% |
| 1.5 | 21/60 | 35% |
| 2.5 | 8/60 | 13% |
| 3.5 | 5/60 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Hoerner finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nico Hoerner’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.