EdgeTake

3B · STL

Nolan Gorman — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Total Bases
64
Per Game
1.12
Projection
1.06
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Nolan Gorman (STL) has averaged 1.12 total bases per game across 57 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.6 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 56% of games this season. Our projection of 1.06 comes in under the market line of 1.35.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -121 at Caesars — model 53% to hit, -3.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -121 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -105 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nolan Gorman went over in 32 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 1.06 vs market line 1.35 — edge -0.29.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.532/5756%
1.515/5726%
2.510/5718%
3.57/5712%

Share of 2026 games Gorman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
1.12

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
1.31
Away (28)
0.93
Home edge
+0.38

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs TB1Over
2026-03-28vs TB1Over
2026-03-29vs TB4Over
2026-03-30vs NYM4Over
2026-03-31vs NYM0Under
2026-04-01vs NYM1Over
2026-04-03vs DET0Under
2026-04-04vs DET0Under
2026-04-05vs DET1Over
2026-04-06vs WSH0Under
2026-04-07vs WSH3Over
2026-04-08vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-12vs BOS0Under
2026-04-13vs CLE1Over
2026-04-14vs CLE0Under
2026-04-15vs CLE1Over
2026-04-18vs HOU4Over
2026-04-18vs HOU2Over
2026-04-19vs HOU0Under
2026-04-20vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs MIA1Over
2026-04-22vs MIA2Over
2026-04-25vs SEA3Over
2026-04-25vs SEA1Over
2026-04-26vs SEA1Over
2026-04-27vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs PIT4Over
2026-04-29vs PIT0Under
2026-04-30vs PIT2Over
2026-05-02vs LAD4Over
2026-05-02vs LAD0Under
2026-05-03vs LAD0Under
2026-05-04vs MIL3Over
2026-05-06vs MIL2Over
2026-05-08vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs SD1Over
2026-05-09vs SD1Over
2026-05-10vs SD0Under
2026-05-13vs ATH1Over
2026-05-14vs ATH1Over
2026-05-14vs ATH1Over
2026-05-16vs KC2Over
2026-05-17vs KC1Over
2026-05-19vs PIT4Over
2026-05-20vs PIT0Under
2026-05-21vs PIT0Under
2026-05-22vs CIN0Under
2026-05-23vs CIN1Over
2026-05-25vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs MIL0Under
2026-05-27vs MIL1Over
2026-05-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-30vs CHC0Under
2026-05-31vs CHC0Under
2026-06-01vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs TEX4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nolan Gorman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.