SS · MIN
Orlando Arcia — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Orlando Arcia (MIN) sits at 1 hits per game through 9 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 67% of games. Our model projects 1.03, a step above the market line of 0.71.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -160 at DraftKings — model 61% to hit, -1.0% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Orlando Arcia went over in 6 of 9 2026 games.
Our projection 1.03 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.32.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/9 | 67% |
| 1.5 | 2/9 | 22% |
| 2.5 | 1/9 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Arcia finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 9 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Orlando Arcia’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.