EdgeTake

SS · MIN

Orlando Arcia — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
9
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Orlando Arcia (MIN) has averaged 0 home runs per game across 9 games this season, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 0% of games this season. We project 0.07, short of the 0.9 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +950 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Orlando Arcia went over in 0 of 9 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.9 — edge -0.83.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/90%

Share of 2026 games Arcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 9 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 9 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
0.00
Away (8)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs BOS0Under
2026-05-24vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-28vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Orlando Arcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.