SS · MIN
Orlando Arcia — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 9 games this season, Orlando Arcia (MIN) is averaging 1.11 total bases per game, tracking close to that at 1.11 over the last 10. 67% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 1.2, short of the 1.25 market line.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -159 at Caesars — model 58% to hit, -6.3% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Orlando Arcia went over in 6 of 9 2026 games.
Our projection 1.2 vs market line 1.25 — edge -0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/9 | 67% |
| 1.5 | 2/9 | 22% |
| 2.5 | 1/9 | 11% |
| 3.5 | 1/9 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Arcia finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 9 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Orlando Arcia’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.