EdgeTake

RF · MIA

Owen Caissie — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Hits
34
Per Game
0.64
Projection
0.75
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 53 games this season, Owen Caissie (MIA) is averaging 0.64 hits per game, trending up to 0.9 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 51% of those games. Our model projects 0.75, a step above the market line of 0.6.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +135 at BetMGM — model 44% to hit, +3.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -167 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Owen Caissie went over in 27 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 0.75 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.527/5351%
1.55/539%
2.52/534%

Share of 2026 games Caissie finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.64

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
0.74
Away (26)
0.54
Home edge
+0.20

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL1Over
2026-03-28vs COL3Over
2026-03-29vs COL1Over
2026-03-30vs CWS0Under
2026-03-31vs CWS1Over
2026-04-01vs CWS1Over
2026-04-03vs NYY1Over
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN0Under
2026-04-09vs CIN3Over
2026-04-10vs DET0Under
2026-04-11vs DET0Under
2026-04-13vs ATL1Over
2026-04-14vs ATL0Under
2026-04-15vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL1Over
2026-04-18vs MIL1Over
2026-04-19vs MIL1Over
2026-04-20vs STL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL0Under
2026-04-22vs STL1Over
2026-04-25vs SF1Over
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD1Over
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI1Over
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-05vs BAL0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL1Over
2026-05-09vs WSH0Under
2026-05-13vs MIN1Over
2026-05-14vs MIN1Over
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-17vs TB1Over
2026-05-18vs ATL1Over
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL1Over
2026-05-22vs NYM1Over
2026-05-23vs NYM1Over
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR2Over
2026-05-27vs TOR1Over
2026-05-29vs NYM2Over
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM2Over
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Owen Caissie’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.