RF · MIA
Owen Caissie — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Owen Caissie (MIA) has averaged 0.34 runs per game across 53 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 26% of games this season. Our projection of 0.41 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Owen Caissie went over in 14 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 0.41 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 14/53 | 26% |
| 1.5 | 4/53 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Caissie finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Owen Caissie’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.