EdgeTake

RF · MIA

Owen Caissie — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Total Bases
58
Per Game
1.09
Projection
1.26
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 53 games this season, Owen Caissie (MIA) is averaging 1.09 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.5. The over on 1.5 has hit in 25% of games. Our projection of 1.26 sits above the market line of 1.04.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +135 at BetMGM — model 41% to hit, -4.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -176 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +135 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Owen Caissie went over in 13 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 1.26 vs market line 1.04 — edge +0.22.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.527/5351%
1.513/5325%
2.59/5317%
3.57/5313%

Share of 2026 games Caissie finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.50
Season avg
1.09

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
1.19
Away (26)
1.00
Home edge
+0.19

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL2Over
2026-03-28vs COL4Over
2026-03-29vs COL4Over
2026-03-30vs CWS0Under
2026-03-31vs CWS1Under
2026-04-01vs CWS1Under
2026-04-03vs NYY4Over
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN0Under
2026-04-09vs CIN5Over
2026-04-10vs DET0Under
2026-04-11vs DET0Under
2026-04-13vs ATL1Under
2026-04-14vs ATL0Under
2026-04-15vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL1Under
2026-04-18vs MIL1Under
2026-04-19vs MIL2Over
2026-04-20vs STL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL0Under
2026-04-22vs STL1Under
2026-04-25vs SF2Over
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD1Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI1Under
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-05vs BAL0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL1Under
2026-05-09vs WSH0Under
2026-05-13vs MIN4Over
2026-05-14vs MIN1Under
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-17vs TB1Under
2026-05-18vs ATL1Under
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL4Over
2026-05-22vs NYM1Under
2026-05-23vs NYM2Over
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR3Over
2026-05-27vs TOR1Under
2026-05-29vs NYM5Over
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM3Over
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Owen Caissie’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.