EdgeTake

2B · ATL

Ozzie Albies — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Runs
38
Per Game
0.62
Projection
0.51
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ozzie Albies (ATL) sits at 0.62 runs per game through 61 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. 48% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.51, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +154 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -185 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ozzie Albies went over in 29 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 0.51 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.529/6148%
1.58/6113%

Share of 2026 games Albies finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.62

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
0.54
Away (33)
0.70
Home edge
-0.16

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs KC1Over
2026-03-28vs KC1Over
2026-03-29vs KC0Under
2026-03-30vs ATH0Under
2026-03-31vs ATH0Under
2026-04-01vs ATH1Over
2026-04-03vs AZ2Over
2026-04-04vs AZ1Over
2026-04-04vs AZ0Under
2026-04-05vs AZ0Under
2026-04-07vs LAA0Under
2026-04-08vs LAA1Over
2026-04-08vs LAA1Over
2026-04-10vs CLE0Under
2026-04-11vs CLE0Under
2026-04-12vs CLE2Over
2026-04-13vs MIA0Under
2026-04-14vs MIA2Over
2026-04-15vs MIA1Over
2026-04-17vs PHI0Under
2026-04-18vs PHI1Over
2026-04-19vs PHI0Under
2026-04-20vs WSH1Over
2026-04-21vs WSH0Under
2026-04-22vs WSH1Over
2026-04-23vs WSH2Over
2026-04-24vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs PHI1Over
2026-04-26vs PHI0Under
2026-04-28vs DET1Over
2026-04-29vs DET2Over
2026-04-30vs DET1Over
2026-05-02vs COL1Over
2026-05-03vs COL0Under
2026-05-03vs COL3Over
2026-05-05vs SEA1Over
2026-05-06vs SEA1Over
2026-05-06vs SEA0Under
2026-05-09vs LAD0Under
2026-05-10vs LAD1Over
2026-05-10vs LAD0Under
2026-05-12vs CHC0Under
2026-05-13vs CHC0Under
2026-05-14vs CHC0Under
2026-05-15vs BOS0Under
2026-05-16vs BOS0Under
2026-05-17vs BOS1Over
2026-05-18vs MIA0Under
2026-05-19vs MIA0Under
2026-05-20vs MIA2Over
2026-05-21vs MIA1Over
2026-05-22vs WSH0Under
2026-05-23vs WSH0Under
2026-05-24vs WSH1Over
2026-05-26vs BOS0Under
2026-05-27vs BOS0Under
2026-05-28vs BOS2Over
2026-05-29vs CIN0Under
2026-05-30vs CIN1Over
2026-05-31vs CIN0Under
2026-06-02vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ozzie Albies’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.