EdgeTake

C · CLE

Patrick Bailey — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Stolen Bases
2
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.02
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Patrick Bailey (CLE) sits at 0.05 stolen bases per game through 39 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 5% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.02 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +2000 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Patrick Bailey went over in 2 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.02 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.48.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/395%

Share of 2026 games Bailey finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.05

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.10
Away (18)
0.00
Home edge
+0.10

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYY0Under
2026-03-27vs NYY0Under
2026-03-28vs NYY0Under
2026-03-31vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs SD0Under
2026-04-04vs NYM0Under
2026-04-05vs NYM0Under
2026-04-05vs NYM1Over
2026-04-07vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs PHI0Under
2026-04-10vs BAL0Under
2026-04-11vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs CIN0Under
2026-04-16vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs WSH0Under
2026-04-19vs WSH0Under
2026-04-22vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-25vs MIA1Over
2026-04-26vs MIA0Under
2026-04-28vs PHI0Under
2026-04-29vs PHI0Under
2026-04-30vs PHI0Under
2026-05-01vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs TB0Under
2026-05-06vs SD0Under
2026-05-10vs MIN0Under
2026-05-12vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN0Under
2026-05-17vs CIN0Under
2026-05-20vs DET0Under
2026-05-21vs DET0Under
2026-05-23vs PHI0Under
2026-05-25vs WSH0Under
2026-05-26vs WSH0Under
2026-05-29vs BOS0Under
2026-06-02vs NYY0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Patrick Bailey’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.