1B · NYY
Paul Goldschmidt — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) has averaged 0.57 runs per game across 35 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 51% of games this season. Our model projects 0.62, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Paul Goldschmidt went over in 18 of 35 2026 games.
Our projection 0.62 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.12.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 18/35 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 2/35 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Goldschmidt finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Paul Goldschmidt’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.