EdgeTake

1B · AZ

Pavin Smith — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
4
Hits
1
Per Game
0.25
Projection
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Pavin Smith (AZ) sits at 0.25 hits per game through 4 games, tracking close to that at 0.25 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 25% of games this season.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -105 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -115 Fanatics

At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Pavin Smith went over in 1 of 4 2026 games.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/425%
1.50/40%
2.50/40%

Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 4 avg
0.25
Season avg
0.25

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 4 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (2)
0.50
Home edge
-0.50

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAD0Under
2026-03-29vs LAD1Over
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pavin Smith’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.