C · STL
Pedro Pagés — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Pedro Pagés (STL) has averaged 0.71 hits per game across 35 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 57% of games this season. Our projection of 0.69 sits above the market line of 0.59.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +113 at DraftKings — model 48% to hit, +1.3% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Pedro Pagés went over in 20 of 35 2026 games.
Our projection 0.69 vs market line 0.59 — edge +0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/35 | 57% |
| 1.5 | 4/35 | 11% |
| 2.5 | 1/35 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Pagés finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pedro Pagés’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.