1B · BAL
Pete Alonso — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 61 games this season, Pete Alonso (BAL) is averaging 0.2 home runs per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 20% of games this season. Our projection of 0.18 comes in under the market line of 0.98.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Pete Alonso went over in 12 of 61 2026 games.
Our projection 0.18 vs market line 0.98 — edge -0.8.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 12/61 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Alonso finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pete Alonso’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.