1B · BAL
Pete Alonso — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 61 games this season, Pete Alonso (BAL) is averaging 1.7 total bases per game, tracking close to that at 1.8 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 44% of games this season. Our projection of 1.52 sits above the market line of 1.39.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -170 at Caesars — model 60% to hit, -4.2% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Pete Alonso went over in 27 of 61 2026 games.
Our projection 1.52 vs market line 1.39 — edge +0.13.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 39/61 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 27/61 | 44% |
| 2.5 | 19/61 | 31% |
| 3.5 | 14/61 | 23% |
Share of 2026 games Alonso finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pete Alonso’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.