EdgeTake

CF · CHC

Pete Crow-Armstrong — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Home Runs
7
Per Game
0.11
Projection
0.17
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) has averaged 0.11 home runs per game across 61 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 11% of games this season. Our model projects 0.17, below the market line of 1.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +425 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Pete Crow-Armstrong went over in 7 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 0.17 vs market line 1 — edge -0.83.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/6111%

Share of 2026 games Crow-Armstrong finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.11

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.07
Away (31)
0.16
Home edge
-0.09

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH0Under
2026-03-28vs WSH0Under
2026-03-29vs WSH0Under
2026-03-30vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA0Under
2026-04-03vs CLE0Under
2026-04-04vs CLE0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB1Over
2026-04-08vs TB0Under
2026-04-10vs PIT0Under
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT0Under
2026-04-13vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs PHI0Under
2026-04-15vs PHI0Under
2026-04-17vs NYM0Under
2026-04-18vs NYM0Under
2026-04-19vs NYM0Under
2026-04-20vs PHI0Under
2026-04-21vs PHI0Under
2026-04-22vs PHI0Under
2026-04-23vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-26vs LAD0Under
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-01vs AZ0Under
2026-05-02vs AZ0Under
2026-05-03vs AZ0Under
2026-05-04vs CIN0Under
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN1Over
2026-05-07vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-10vs TEX0Under
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL0Under
2026-05-15vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs CWS1Over
2026-05-17vs CWS0Under
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU1Over
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT0Under
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-29vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs STL1Over
2026-05-31vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pete Crow-Armstrong’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.