EdgeTake

CF · CHC

Pete Crow-Armstrong — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Runs
33
Per Game
0.54
Projection
0.56
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) has averaged 0.54 runs per game across 61 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. The over on 0.5 has hit in 41% of games. Our model projects 0.56, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +149 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -175 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Pete Crow-Armstrong went over in 25 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 0.56 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.525/6141%
1.57/6111%

Share of 2026 games Crow-Armstrong finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.54

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.47
Away (31)
0.61
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH0Under
2026-03-28vs WSH2Over
2026-03-29vs WSH0Under
2026-03-30vs LAA2Over
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA0Under
2026-04-03vs CLE1Over
2026-04-04vs CLE0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB3Over
2026-04-08vs TB0Under
2026-04-10vs PIT0Under
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT0Under
2026-04-13vs PHI1Over
2026-04-14vs PHI2Over
2026-04-15vs PHI1Over
2026-04-17vs NYM0Under
2026-04-18vs NYM0Under
2026-04-19vs NYM1Over
2026-04-20vs PHI1Over
2026-04-21vs PHI0Under
2026-04-22vs PHI0Under
2026-04-23vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD2Over
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-26vs LAD0Under
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD2Over
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-01vs AZ1Over
2026-05-02vs AZ0Under
2026-05-03vs AZ0Under
2026-05-04vs CIN1Over
2026-05-05vs CIN1Over
2026-05-06vs CIN1Over
2026-05-07vs CIN1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-10vs TEX0Under
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL0Under
2026-05-15vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs CWS1Over
2026-05-17vs CWS0Under
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL1Over
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU1Over
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU1Over
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT1Over
2026-05-28vs PIT1Over
2026-05-29vs STL1Over
2026-05-30vs STL2Over
2026-05-31vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pete Crow-Armstrong’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.