EdgeTake

C · CIN

P.J. Higgins — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
8
Runs
1
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.39
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

P.J. Higgins (CIN) has averaged 0.13 runs per game across 8 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.13 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 13% of games. Our model projects 0.39, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +225 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -315 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), P.J. Higgins went over in 1 of 8 2026 games.

Our projection 0.39 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/813%
1.50/80%

Share of 2026 games Higgins finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 8 avg
0.13
Season avg
0.13

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 8 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (4)
0.00
Home edge
+0.25

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-09vs MIA0Under
2026-04-12vs LAA0Under
2026-04-16vs SF0Under
2026-04-22vs TB0Under
2026-05-20vs PHI0Under
2026-05-23vs STL1Over
2026-05-27vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs ATL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See P.J. Higgins’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.