EdgeTake

RF · CWS

Randal Grichuk — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
33
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.12
Projection
0.16
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Randal Grichuk (CWS) sits at 0.12 home runs per game through 33 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 12% of games. Our model projects 0.16, below the market line of 1.41.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +500 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Randal Grichuk went over in 4 of 33 2026 games.

Our projection 0.16 vs market line 1.41 — edge -1.25.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/3312%

Share of 2026 games Grichuk finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.12

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.18
Away (16)
0.06
Home edge
+0.11

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs SF0Under
2026-04-09vs ATH0Under
2026-04-10vs TB0Under
2026-04-11vs TB0Under
2026-04-12vs TB0Under
2026-04-13vs LAA0Under
2026-04-14vs LAA0Under
2026-04-18vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs BOS0Under
2026-04-22vs BOS0Under
2026-04-23vs BOS0Under
2026-04-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-05vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-08vs SEA1Over
2026-05-09vs SEA0Under
2026-05-10vs SEA1Over
2026-05-12vs KC0Under
2026-05-14vs KC1Over
2026-05-15vs CHC0Under
2026-05-16vs CHC0Under
2026-05-17vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA1Over
2026-05-23vs SF0Under
2026-05-24vs SF0Under
2026-05-26vs MIN0Under
2026-05-27vs MIN0Under
2026-05-28vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs DET0Under
2026-05-31vs DET0Under
2026-06-02vs MIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Randal Grichuk’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.