EdgeTake

2B · TB

Richie Palacios — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Hits
29
Per Game
0.72
Projection
0.81
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 40 games this season, Richie Palacios (TB) is averaging 0.73 hits per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.8. The over on 0.5 has hit in 50% of games. Our projection of 0.81 sits above the market line of 0.7.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, -4.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +110 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Richie Palacios went over in 20 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 0.81 vs market line 0.7 — edge +0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.520/4050%
1.58/4020%
2.51/403%

Share of 2026 games Palacios finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.72

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.72
Away (22)
0.73
Home edge
-0.01

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL0Under
2026-03-28vs STL0Under
2026-03-29vs STL0Under
2026-03-31vs MIL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIL0Under
2026-04-04vs MIN1Over
2026-04-05vs MIN2Over
2026-04-07vs CHC1Over
2026-04-12vs NYY0Under
2026-04-15vs CWS1Over
2026-04-16vs CWS2Over
2026-04-17vs PIT0Under
2026-04-18vs PIT1Over
2026-04-19vs PIT1Over
2026-04-20vs CIN1Over
2026-04-21vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN0Under
2026-04-25vs MIN0Under
2026-04-28vs CLE0Under
2026-04-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-02vs SF0Under
2026-05-05vs TOR0Under
2026-05-11vs TOR3Over
2026-05-12vs TOR0Under
2026-05-13vs TOR1Over
2026-05-15vs MIA2Over
2026-05-16vs MIA2Over
2026-05-17vs MIA0Under
2026-05-18vs BAL2Over
2026-05-19vs BAL1Over
2026-05-20vs BAL1Over
2026-05-22vs NYY1Over
2026-05-24vs NYY0Under
2026-05-25vs BAL2Over
2026-05-26vs BAL0Under
2026-05-27vs BAL1Over
2026-05-29vs LAA1Over
2026-05-31vs LAA0Under
2026-06-01vs DET0Under
2026-06-02vs DET2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Richie Palacios’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.