EdgeTake

DH · SEA

Rob Refsnyder — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Hits
9
Per Game
0.24
Projection
0.5
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Rob Refsnyder (SEA) has averaged 0.24 hits per game across 37 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.2. 24% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.5, short of the 0.78 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -116 at DraftKings — model 56% to hit, +4.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -103 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -116 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Rob Refsnyder went over in 9 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 0.5 vs market line 0.78 — edge -0.28.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/3724%
1.50/370%
2.50/370%

Share of 2026 games Refsnyder finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.24

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.14
Away (16)
0.38
Home edge
-0.23

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-29vs CLE0Under
2026-03-31vs NYY0Under
2026-04-01vs NYY0Under
2026-04-04vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-07vs TEX0Under
2026-04-08vs TEX0Under
2026-04-12vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX0Under
2026-04-19vs TEX1Over
2026-04-21vs ATH0Under
2026-04-22vs ATH1Over
2026-04-22vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs STL1Over
2026-04-26vs STL1Over
2026-04-27vs MIN1Over
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-05vs ATL1Over
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-08vs CWS0Under
2026-05-09vs CWS0Under
2026-05-10vs CWS0Under
2026-05-12vs HOU1Over
2026-05-14vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-17vs SD0Under
2026-05-19vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-22vs KC0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH1Over
2026-05-27vs ATH1Over
2026-05-30vs AZ0Under
2026-06-02vs NYM0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Rob Refsnyder’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.