DH · SEA
Rob Refsnyder — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Rob Refsnyder (SEA) sits at 0.08 home runs per game through 37 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. 8% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.14, below the market line of 0.83.
Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Rob Refsnyder went over in 3 of 37 2026 games.
Our projection 0.14 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.69.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/37 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Refsnyder finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Rob Refsnyder’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.