EdgeTake

C · SD

Rodolfo Durán — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
9
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.11
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Rodolfo Durán (SD) has averaged 0.11 home runs per game across 9 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.11 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 11% of games this season. We project 0.12, short of the 0.83 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +850 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Rodolfo Durán went over in 1 of 9 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.71.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/911%

Share of 2026 games Durán finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 9 avg
0.11
Season avg
0.11

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 9 games.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
0.00
Away (3)
0.33
Home edge
-0.33

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-08vs STL0Under
2026-05-10vs STL0Under
2026-05-13vs MIL0Under
2026-05-16vs SEA1Over
2026-05-19vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs ATH0Under
2026-05-24vs ATH0Under
2026-05-25vs PHI0Under
2026-05-30vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Rodolfo Durán’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.