CF · MIN
Ryan Kreidler — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Ryan Kreidler (MIN) has averaged 0.17 home runs per game across 18 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. 17% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 1.08.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ryan Kreidler went over in 3 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.08 — edge -0.97.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/18 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Kreidler finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Kreidler’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.