EdgeTake

3B · NYY

Ryan McMahon — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
51
Hits
31
Per Game
0.61
Projection
0.83
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ryan McMahon (NYY) sits at 0.61 hits per game through 51 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.9. 45% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.83, ahead of the 0.67 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -129 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Ryan McMahon went over in 23 of 51 2026 games.

Our projection 0.83 vs market line 0.67 — edge +0.16.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.523/5145%
1.57/5114%
2.51/512%

Share of 2026 games McMahon finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.61

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.73
Away (29)
0.52
Home edge
+0.21

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs SF1Over
2026-03-27vs SF0Under
2026-03-28vs SF0Under
2026-03-31vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-03vs MIA0Under
2026-04-04vs MIA0Under
2026-04-05vs MIA1Over
2026-04-08vs ATH0Under
2026-04-09vs ATH0Under
2026-04-11vs TB1Over
2026-04-12vs TB1Over
2026-04-13vs LAA0Under
2026-04-14vs LAA1Over
2026-04-15vs LAA0Under
2026-04-17vs KC1Over
2026-04-18vs KC0Under
2026-04-19vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs BOS0Under
2026-04-22vs BOS0Under
2026-04-23vs BOS1Over
2026-04-25vs HOU1Over
2026-04-25vs HOU2Over
2026-04-26vs HOU1Over
2026-04-28vs TEX1Over
2026-04-29vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-02vs BAL1Over
2026-05-03vs BAL3Over
2026-05-04vs BAL1Over
2026-05-05vs TEX2Over
2026-05-06vs TEX0Under
2026-05-07vs TEX2Over
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL1Over
2026-05-10vs MIL0Under
2026-05-11vs BAL0Under
2026-05-12vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs BAL0Under
2026-05-15vs NYM0Under
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-19vs TOR2Over
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-21vs TOR1Over
2026-05-22vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs TB1Over
2026-05-27vs KC2Over
2026-05-30vs ATH1Over
2026-05-31vs ATH2Over
2026-05-31vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan McMahon’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.